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A Year Ahead: Commodities, Emerging Markets, Dollar, AI Boom, and China
As we enter the new year, it is worth outlining the key themes that will be…
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How the EU is losing manufacturing power through higher LNG imports
LNG imports, particularly from the U.S. (now a key supplier to Europe), remain structurally more expensive…
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EMs debts and foreign investment outflow
Foreign investors withdrew their capital from emerging markets debt, which supported the asset class. Many EMs…
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China’s deflation is neutralizing EU protectionist measures
Weak pricing from Chinese exporters, combined with a depreciating RMB against the euro, has driven a…
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Growth of international assets in 2025
Emerging markets and other international, non-US asset classes experienced significant growth in 2025. While a weakening…
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Reasons for weak household consumption in China
Why does China have low household consumption? One of the key challenges facing China today is…
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Cognitive decline and capital management
Japan may be running the world’s largest real-time experiment in cognitive finance. The nation already has…
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Asian manufacturing rebound
Asian manufacturing data point to stabilization rather than a synchronized rebound. The key signal in the…
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10Y Treasury Yields, DXY, and Emerging Markets
The US 10-year Treasury yield and the US dollar index (DXY) have started to clearly diverge,…
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CNY appreciation
CNY broke the 7.0 level per USD in the onshore market for the first time in…
Independent research and commentary for informational purposes only. Not investment advice.
