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Credit Spreads Are Back To Pre-Iran Conflict Levels
Credit spreads are back to pre-Iran conflict levels. HY OAS is back around 3.05% versus ~3.12%…
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Entering the stagflation environment…?
The current data from the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta points to lower GDP growth forecasts,…
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A Strengthening Dollar And A Weakening… Well, Everything Else!
As markets are pricing higher inflation, disruptions in supply chains, and widening energy shortages, central banks…
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EMs: Macro Snapshot 2025/2026F
As the crisis in the Middle East unwinds with no ceasefire in sight, it is worth…
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Options Are Pointing To Near-Term Fear Rather Than Structural Long-Term Repricing
The S&P 500 implied volatility surface gives some interesting observations. Near-term put skew spiking to 80-100…
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This Isn’t Just An Oil Shock…
As the conflict in Iran unwinds further with deeper escalations happening on a daily basis, it…
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Are Central Banks Overreactive To Supply Shocks?
As central banks across the world are deciding on their policy trajectories given energy supply shocks…
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CSI Resilience Amid Oil Crisis
China’s equity market has shown notable resilience during the recent escalation around Iran. While several major…
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No Cuts This Year … At Least For Now!
FED Funds Futures now imply zero cuts in 2026 and only one cut in 2027 as…
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The Revival of China’s Domestic Consumption Is Unlikely. At least in 2026…
As I’ve outlined before – despite Beijing’s aim to accelerate domestic consumption and reduce overreliance on…
Independent research and commentary for informational purposes only. Not investment advice.
New World Investment Research 