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SPX to Gold Ratio Trend
A downward trend in the S&P 500 to Gold ratio indicates risk aversion and a macro…
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Implied FED Rates Are Set to Spur the Inflation in 2026
Federal Fund Futures imply further easing in monetary policy in 2026, with the expected policy rate…
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Volatility in US Treasury Yields
US Treasury yield volatility has declined materially across the curve over the past year. Rolling 20-day…
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Private Credit in EMs
Although emerging markets carry higher risk and often exhibit blurred boundaries between private and public credit,…
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The defense industry is set to continue the rally
Since February 2022, share prices of major defense manufacturers have diverged significantly. European and Asian producers…
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The CAPE ratio is near an all-time high.
The CAPE ratio, which is based on average inflation-adjusted earnings from the previous 10 year, continues…
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China and Southeast Asia
Bloomberg data show that China is increasingly exporting capital while the US is concentrating on attracting…
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Gold price is likely to push forward in 2026, but at a more moderate pace than in 2025.
The previous year concentrated nearly all of the conditions that traditionally support gold: declining interest rates,…
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Capital Deepening, Labor Market Weakness, and Consumption Constraints in China
China’s average wages in the secondary sector have risen steadily since the mid-2000s. However, wage growth…
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Versant shares drop: PSKY-WBD-NFLX
P(Versant), Jan 2 = 46.65P(Versant), Jan 6 = 36.26% change = -22.3% The internet names investor…
Independent research and commentary for informational purposes only. Not investment advice.
New World Invesment Research 